chris_gerrib: (Default)
chris_gerrib ([personal profile] chris_gerrib) wrote2017-10-02 10:48 am
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Here We Go Again

Here we go again - lone wolf white dude gets a collection of guns and decides to hose down a crowd. Given that he was shooting from 400 meters away (per here) any security measure that didn't involve counter-sniper teams at full alert would be useless.

We'll hear a lot about "thoughts and prayers" and how attacks like these are unavoidable, but "thoughts and prayers" aren't very helpful and attacks like these are in fact avoidable. The harder it is to get high-capacity semi-auto weapons, the harder these attacks are. And yes, I'm aware that this appears to have been done with a full-auto weapon. It's a lot easier to hide a full-auto weapon in a forest of cosmetically identical semi-autos.

Sceptically

[personal profile] malobukov 2017-10-02 04:39 pm (UTC)(link)
The New York Times already proposed a list of new gun control measures. The only problem is, not a single one of them would have made a difference in this case.

Re: Sceptically

[personal profile] malobukov 2017-10-02 06:07 pm (UTC)(link)
Other countries such as France or Norway had their share of mass shootings, despite having much more strict gun laws.

It is also worth mentioning that the worst mass killings, both in the US (Happy Land fire) and internationally (Daegu subway fire in South Korea) were perpetrated with common household items rather than guns.

Let’s count

[personal profile] malobukov 2017-10-02 07:05 pm (UTC)(link)
According to the FBI, 486 people were killed in the US by active shooters between 2000 and 2013. That’s 1.5 per million people.

In Norway, 77 people were killed during the same period, or 15 per million.

Let’s do France then

[personal profile] malobukov 2017-10-02 07:45 pm (UTC)(link)
In November 2015 Paris attacks alone, 130 people were killed. That’s about 2 per million.

Even if you add 92 dead to 486, it still comes up to 1.8 per million in the US, but now over 15 years.

Every death is a tragedy, but it’s important not to be blinded by emotions and impartially look at what the numbers are saying.

Re: Let’s do France then

[personal profile] malobukov 2017-10-02 08:50 pm (UTC)(link)
Try a longer period. Add Charlie Hebdo and other cases. You will see the same pattern. Don’t trust me, run the numbers yourself. I used to live in a country with constitution that had neither first nor second amendment. I came to the US not because you were doing something wrong, but because we are doing something right.