There is nothing obvious about war with Iran. First, they are not actually making nuclear weapons at this point. Second, there's no reason to think they will attack Israel if and when they get weapons.
You see, people who are planning to use nukes don't have their President show up on state-run TV waving enriched uranium around like it's a golden egg! They build in secret, so it's harder to stop them.
People who are planning to wipe out a country with nukes don't worry about long-range missiles. It's easier to smuggle the bombs in and when they go off, there's less of a fingerprint.
No, Iran wants nukes (if they do at all) for two reasons - 1) domestic politics (Iran has an outsized opinion of itself) and 2) deterrence.
So, the issue isn't "war now or war later" it's "war or no war."
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Date: 2012-03-09 05:16 pm (UTC)You see, people who are planning to use nukes don't have their President show up on state-run TV waving enriched uranium around like it's a golden egg! They build in secret, so it's harder to stop them.
People who are planning to wipe out a country with nukes don't worry about long-range missiles. It's easier to smuggle the bombs in and when they go off, there's less of a fingerprint.
No, Iran wants nukes (if they do at all) for two reasons - 1) domestic politics (Iran has an outsized opinion of itself) and 2) deterrence.
So, the issue isn't "war now or war later" it's "war or no war."