chris_gerrib: (Default)
One of the many irritations of Arguments on the Internet is the tendency to take a slogan to 11, then argue that. (More formally, a strawman argument.) Two examples.

In Atlanta recently, the police intervened and stopped a carjacking. The victim was an Atlanta councilman who had voted to "defund the police." The argument was that the councilman was a hypocrite. Here's the thing - people voting to "defund the police" aren't actually for abolishing police. They're for taking some of the money we give to police and using it in other programs to reduce crime. (Like, getting homeless people off of the street or treating drug addicts.)

The other example is the current argument over whether the COVID-19 virus came from a Chinese lab. First, saying it came from a lab does not mean it was man-made. It could have been a natural virus being studied in a lab. Second, there is simply no evidence that the virus escaped from a lab. Now, "no evidence" does NOT mean "it didn't happen." It just means, "no evidence that it did." Looking for evidence is reasonable - jumping to the conclusion that "China did it!" is not.

Kenosha

Aug. 27th, 2020 07:50 am
chris_gerrib: (Default)
As anybody who is not living under a rock knows, there have been protests, sometimes violent, in Kenosha Wisconsin over yet another highly-questionable police shooting. (Generally speaking, shooting somebody in the back is only legal if they are running around actively killing people in front of you.) These protests turned lethal a couple of days ago. Thoughts:

1) If you ignore non-violent protests, you'll eventually get violent ones. In other words, if you don't like professional athletes kneeling during the National Anthem, you'd better like riots.

2) Kyle Rittenhouse, the white teenager who killed two people in Kenosha, is not a part of BLM. He's 17, which makes it illegal for him to carry or transport the weapon he used (both in Illinois, Wisconsin and Federally). He's from Illinois, and has no ties to Kenosha, and as a civilian he was violating curfew. In short, he's the very model of an outside agitator.

3) Regardless of the details of what happened that night in Kenosha, it's hard to argue this is anything other than murder. If you travel somewhere specifically to break the law, whatever happens thereafter is on you.

4) On a political note, I remain baffled by Trump's claim that he's the "LAW and ORDER" President who can fix this. It seems to me part of his long-running tendency to act like a spectator instead of The Guy In Charge. Less campaign rallies, more fixing please.
chris_gerrib: (Default)
Blue Flu

Reportedly in Atlanta, local police officers called in sick or otherwise decided not to work in protest to the arrest of an officer for shooting a fleeing suspect in the back. The cute name for this activity is "blue flu." A commentator, Beau of the Fifth Column, made a short video which captured my thoughts on the matter with great clarity. To recap:

1) Blue flu is intended to cause pain in the community. The chaos and fear of no cops is supposed to cause the community to run to the cops with open arms and say "protect us."
2) These kind of actions make it clear that the officers aren't interested in serving the public; rather in protecting themselves. True public servants would show up anyway.
3) Generally, blue flu doesn't create chaos and crime. Reported crime either stays the same or goes down.
4) Blue flu typically proves that the US is over-policed and we could be as safe as we are now with fewer and/or less active cops. "As safe as we are now" may not be "as safe as we want to be" but that's a different argument.

Warrior Cops

There is also a phenomenon of "warrior cops." This is a term of art for various training programs which purport to teach police how to survive and win in the event they get in a fight with a violent offender. I am of two minds on these programs.

On the one hand, the history of police work in the US is full of cases where police officers get badly beaten by violent offenders. These events usually end in officer fatalities. There are a lot of tactical lessons to be taken from those sad events.

On the other hand, many of these programs train their graduates to walk around "with a plan to kill everyone they meet." This is not a good outcome, especially since statistically, 95% of cops will never be in a genuine life-or-death fight. Creating this "us vs. them" mentality leads to overreactions and fewer crimes solved, as the "thems" find themselves wanting nothing to do with the cops.

I've heard that the training classes offered by Massad Ayoob square that circle. I'm not sure if he succeeds in that effort or how, but making the attempt is an important thing to try.
chris_gerrib: (Default)
As we argue about the murder of George Floyd, I’ve heard calls for police reform, ranging from retraining to abolishing the police. (I’m definitely not in favor of the later.) I think most people can agree that our police on whole are too militarized. It would be helpful to understand why, and to understand that one needs to go back to 1876. This will be a long read – please refresh your beverages now.

In 1876, the former Confederates were in the process of retaking the South in the form of the insurgency called “Reconstruction.” Three states sent two sets of Electoral votes to Congress – a set for each of the Republican and Democratic candidates. To avoid the election going to Congress, a deal was struck – the Republican, Rutherford B. Hayes, got to be President, and the South got the Federal government, in the form of the US Army, to stop enforcing laws in the South.

The actual law that prevented the US military from enforcing laws in the South was called the Posse Comitatus Act, and it meant that the US military could not enforce civilian laws except under certain limited circumstances. This law is unique to the US and was not designed by the Founding Fathers. In fact, George Washington used the Army to enforce tax law during his term in office.

Fast forward to the 1960s. Various events, including the 1966 University of Texas tower shooting, where a man barricaded himself in a tower and killed 14 with a sniper rifle, convinced local law enforcement that they were in need of more firepower. Since, unlike anywhere else in the world, they couldn’t just call the Army in, the US solution was SWAT.

“SWAT” is “Special Weapons and Tactics” and it’s a militarized unit in the police. Originally, SWAT was just supposed to respond to the types of problems faced in the Texas tower shooting. The problem is several-fold.
  1. SWAT units are expensive, even part-time units. They need special training and special gear. There is a lot of pressure on police chiefs to “get our money out of SWAT” by sending them to do things that are at best SWAT-adjacent. That means you see SWAT rolling out to do drug raids and other stuff that you really don’t need SWAT to do.
  2. SWAT units are seen as the elite group in the police. Ambitious officers want to be on SWAT, and so they try to be like SWAT.
  3. SWAT units are elite, and one of the things you do with elite units is you have them train less-elite units. So SWAT training percolates down into the regular force. Since SWAT is designed to deal with desperate characters who are willing to shoot it out with the cops, this training tends to be focused on how to aggressively deal with threats as opposed to de-escalate.

There’s a related problem, which is that because the US military is not involved in local law enforcement, as a practical matter should some kind of terrorist attack actually materialize in the US, the Army would take days to respond. It’s common to make fun of the Podunk Iowa PD having an ex-Army armored vehicle, but there are no US Army units in Iowa who could provide armor in the event it was needed.

The solution, or at least a solution, is two-fold, and not cheap.
  1. Get rid of most if not all local SWAT units. (Maybe Chicago or New York actually needs a local SWAT. Podunk Iowa? Not so much.)
  2. Create, staff, train, and deploy full-time military units that are available on request to local PD for when they actually need SWAT. (Hostage situations, active shooters, etc.) Given our love of federalism, these units would probably be full-time National Guard units. But they would need to be full-time and distributed such that if the Podunk Iowa PD gets in a bind, a unit could be there before next Tuesday.

Given the current political climate, I expect this idea has less-than-zero chance of happening.
chris_gerrib: (Default)
I watched about 10 minutes of a video by Candace Owens, Pundit At Large. (Google it if you want to.) Owens made two entirely wrong-headed points in her video.

1) Nobody is claiming George Floyd is a hero.
2) There is no "but."

Point 2 requires a bit of elaboration. Owens said repeatedly "Floyd didn't deserve to die but he was a criminal, etc." *There is no "but."*

George Floyd did not deserve to die. He was illegally killed by somebody who was supposed to uphold the law while others who were supposed to uphold the law did nothing. That's it. That's all there is. Until we as a nation make an effort to do better, we will continue to have problems.
chris_gerrib: (Default)
No, I'm not obsessed with Mars. I can stop thinking about the Red Planet any time I want to. (Clears throat.) Since that day hasn't come yet, I'd like to talk about this article How Will Police Solve Murders on Mars?

I found a lot of the article spot-on, but there was a big red (orange?) flag for me. The author said that Martian police won't have guns because the risk of shooting holes in their station is too high. Er, not really.

First, there are such things as frangible bullets. These are projectiles made from compressed copper powder. When they strike something harder then them (like metal) they break into tiny pieces. They are still lethal, just not as likely to penetrate.

Second, let's think about a bullet hole. A big bullet hole from a large-caliber handgun is less than half-an-inch in diameter. Even for a small pressure vessel, it's going to take a while for enough air to leak out to cause a problem. Also, pressure vessels, especially those on the ground where weight isn't as big of an issue, can be (and probably would be) made self-sealable. After all, it would really suck if an errant screwdriver could depressurize your hab.

Finally, let's think about what you need for your hypothetical Mars habitat. Mars has much higher levels of surface radiation and very extreme temperatures. As it happens, the best way to protect yourself from both is with dirt. Basically, pile some dirt on top of the hab and it will insulate you from both radiation and temperature. Said dirt will also absorb bullets and minimize if not stop leakage.

Now, to be fair, your typical hab will probably have a lot of stuff in it that doesn't react well to bullets. But depressurization is probably low on the list of problems with going all O.K. Corral on Mars.
chris_gerrib: (Default)
For the first time in months, I'm having a slow day at work. This is mostly because I'm either waiting for people to get back to me or waiting until Saturday to make some network changes. Since I have a bit of time, and I can't see that I talked about this, two deep thoughts.

Statues of Confederate Generals

The South is littered with statues of Confederate generals, politicians, and "Soldiers of the Lost Cause." These statues were built, as Virginian and US General George Thomas said, "as a species of political cant" to cover the crime of treason with a "counterfeit varnish of patriotism." They were also erected in the period 1880 to 1920, when the Southern whites had regained political control in the South and instituted Jim Crow. They were specifically intended to remind the blacks who was back in charge.

This is why there are no statues of Confederate General James Longstreet, Lee's long-time #2. After the war, Longstreet became a Republican and worked to help freed blacks. In fact, Longstreet became the Benedict Arnold of the Lost Cause movement. This movement attempted to paint the Confederacy as noble, and ended up accusing Longstreet of throwing the battle of Gettysburg. In short, the statues are no more "historic" than those of Lenin and Stalin which used to line the streets of communist countries.

Fetishism of the Military

Here I steal a bit from Josh Marshall, who notes that many of the people opposed to the take a knee protests are insulting the troops. One of the reasons the Founding Fathers were against a large standing military (such as we have now) is that they could be used to suppress democracy.

Now, the American Revolution was a case where the British standing army was used forcefully against democracy, but we're seeing how it can be used in an indirect way. Protests that take place as public events where the flag is displayed are deliberately misinterpreted as against the flag and therefore against anybody who fought for it. The symbol becomes more important than the reality of a constitutional right. It's no accident that a lot of military veterans are speaking out in favor of the protests. We value the real, not the symbolic.

What ties the statues and kneeling together is the attempt to paper over reality. The statues paper over the reality that the Civil War was fought so that rich people could keep their slaves, and the kneeling controversy attempts to paper over perceived police injustices.
chris_gerrib: (Default)
In my inbox, presented without comment:

Have you ever been duped by a burglary myth? There are plenty out there, and it could happen to anyone. But to truly outsmart burglars, you have to arm yourself with the facts. Read on to find out the truth behind 4 of the most common burglary myths.

MYTH: Most burglaries occur at night

FACT:
The majority of burglaries take place between 10AM and 3PM, while you’re at work

MYTH: Most burglars pick locks or use high-tech equipment to get in

FACT:
According to the DOJ, burglars most frequently enter through an open or unlocked door or window

MYTH: Most burglars have little to no experience breaking into homes

FACT:
According to a study by the Bureau of Justice Statistics, 82% of burglars are repeat offenders

MYTH: Burglars don’t target gated or restricted-access communities

FACT:
According to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, homes in gated and restricted communities have nearly the same burglary rates as homes with direct outside access

Take care,

Dave
SimpliSafe Home Security
1-888-957-4675
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
It's Tuesday, so have some links:

A) My book The Mars Run is featured on eBookSoda. Please share the love.

B) In regards to Black Lives Matter, a great video: Tolerance is for cowards.

C) Point Roberts, USA - An American city stranded at the tip of a Canadian peninsula.

D) Barack Obama on 5 days that shaped his Presidency.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
I tried to watch Trump's acceptance speech last night. I got maybe five minutes in, to the point where he would wave his magic wand on Inauguration Day and Make It All Better, when, in the interests of not damaging my TV screen, I shut off the device. Herewith, I'll point you at a pair of articles and just say "like they said."

Like they said - Jim Hines on the latest stupid police shooting. At some point (well in the past) one has to stop calling these random accidents and consider them a pattern.

Also like they said - the real costs of the practice of the investigatory vehicle stop, the vehicular equivalent of the stop-and-frisk. This is where a cop pulls you over for little or no reason and engages in a fishing expedition to see if they can charge you with something. It's a modestly kinder version of the Gestapo "papers please" drill.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
Some links regarding policing in the USA that have been floating around in my Internet. I do find it hopeful that some of the links below are from sites that are conservative and usually heavily support police. Reality is not just for breakfast.

A) What are we asking cops to do? Dallas police chief David Brown: “We’re asking cops to do too much in this country. Every societal failure, we put it off on the cops to solve. Not enough mental health funding, let the cops handle it. Here in Dallas we got a loose dog problem; let’s have the cops chase loose dogs. Schools fail, let’s give it to the cops. That’s too much to ask. Policing was never meant to solve all those problems.”

B) A very conservative site notes that every organization has bad actors and we as a society need to perceive that these bad actors will be dealt with. This is not the perception when it comes to police and that's a problem.

C) I'm not a fan of Newt Gingrich, but occasionally he gets hit by reality and allows himself to respond appropriately. To wit: “It took me a long time, and a number of people talking to me through the years to get a sense of this,” Gingrich said. “If you are a normal, white American, the truth is you don’t understand being black in America and you instinctively under-estimate the level of discrimination and the level of additional risk.”

D) Something that's become apparent to me as well - some cops seem to have an instinctive and deep-seated sense of threat from a black man. Combine this with poor training and training which emphasizes a rapid escalation to deadly force and you've got a toxic mixture where people are going to get killed.

Dallas

Jul. 8th, 2016 09:56 am
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
I'm planning on being out of pocket today, so a brief thought. For the record, I am against civilians shooting police AND against police shooting civilians.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
Police Shootings and the Catholic Church

So I read an interesting article from a conservative news source entitled You Don’t Have To Be Black Lives Matter To Support Police Accountability. It's a bit light on root causes, but it does have a nice bit on "virtue cloaking."

Basically, virtue cloaking, well, I'll just quote the article: When a profession commands our respect, we often feel tempted to “virtue-cloak” it, insisting against all opposition that members of that profession really are what we know they should be. This is how people end up defending clearly bad police shootings, or saying criticizing police has a "chilling effect" and leads to higher crime. It's also how the Catholic Church ignored pedophilia in its ranks for far too long.

Virtue cloaking is an excuse, and like most excuses it stinks. Having said that, understanding why somebody is doing something is frequently helpful in suggesting alternative behaviors.

Plus Hilary Clinton

So I saw the news conference in which Clinton will not be criminally charged for not securing classified information. I suspect that an unspoken reason for not charging her is the high bullshit quotient of what we classify. Did you know our targeted assassination via flying robot program is top secret? In any event, the whole affair is why I'm not a big Clinton fan - it's too slick by half.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
"A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on," said Winston Churchill. Today's lie is that Sharia police are legally patrolling the streets of Germany.

Here's the truth. In September 2014, five German mooks (admittedly radical Islamists) put on red hi-vis vests with the English words "Sharia Police" on them and walked the streets of Wuppertal, a town in Germany. They made sure to get photographed doing so, and their "police activity" consisted of telling people to not go to bars.

Nobody over the age of five thought these mooks were police (the German police wear yellow hi-vis with the word "Polizei" on them, for starters) and they didn't try to arrest anybody. They were, in fact, arrested by the real police and charged. A lower court ruled in their favor but an appeals court ordered them tried. While all the legal wrangling was going on, our mooks were patrolling their gardens and living rooms.

It was, in short, a photo-op, staged to create a propaganda overreaction in English-speaking countries. It worked, thanks to the same pants-wetters running to vote for Donald Trump.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
Here in the Chicago area, the Chicago PD, under heavy legal pressure, released the video of Laquan McDonald getting shot 16 times by Officer Jason Van Dyke. The shooting happened 14 months ago, but we're just now seeing it. The video is all over the Internet - Google it if you want to see it.

I'll tell you what it shows. It shows an execution. Van Dyke fired 10 seconds after arriving on scene, and was in no way threatened. The various governing bodies of the City of Chicago, who've had this video for over a year, knew that almost immediately, and paid $5 million of city taxpayer funds to the McDonald family before a lawsuit was filed.

There is clearly a problem, and not just in Chicago, but nationwide, over how we as a society deal with over-aggressive police.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
Today is the calm before the storm. At work, things will get busy next week with meetings and a branch closing. This weekend, I'm working a festival for Rotary, and Tuesday night we have our first food for kids packing session. Somewhere in all of this I need to pick up a costume and pack for my cruise.

ETA: Have Two Links

1) Thoughts on 9/11. Money quote: A few sad teenagers have committed far, far more domestic terror attacks than all the Islamic militants in the world over the past decade, and that is an outcome I think very few would have predicted, myself included, in the aftermath of 9/11. I’m sure the Rudy Guiliani set would love to take credit for the lack of attacks, but I think any serious expert on stopping domestic terrorism attacks would agree that the only way to bat as close to 1000 as we have is if your enemy is fictional.

2) Once again, there is no 'war on cops'. Money quote: So far, 2015 is on pace to see 35 felonious killings of police officers. If that pace holds, this year would end with the second lowest number of murdered cops in decades.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
Been saving this up...

A) An interesting thought on police misconduct. The author compares fear of police as equivalent to the fear of terrorism. Both are random events that could happen to anybody anywhere, where as other forms of violence can in theory be avoided.

B) What do you eat in Antarctica? The hot dog soup actually looks pretty good, but then one does not get to be my size by being a picky eater.

C) The title says it all Yes, Virginia, people of color do fucking read SF/F.

D) Speaking of science fiction, an interesting anthology having a Kickstarter.

E) Here's a video on the cause of the Civil War:

Was the Civil War About Slavery?

New Video! "Was the Civil War About Slavery?"What caused the Civil War? Did the North care about abolishing slavery? Did the South secede because of slavery? Or was it about something else entirely...perhaps states' rights? Col. Ty Seidule, history professor at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, settles the debate once and for all.For more information on the Civil War, check out The West Point History of the Civil War, an interactive e-book that brings the Civil War to life in a way that's never been done. Click here -> https://shop.westpointhistoryofwarfare.com/products/copy-of-the-west-point-history-of-the-civil-war.

Posted by PragerU on Monday, August 10, 2015
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
I think most people have heard something about the arrest of Sandra Bland. I haven't said much, but I find my feelings best captured by this article. Titled, "Sandra Bland's Arrest Wasn't Racism; It Was Something Even Worse" the article says:

Encinia [arresting officer] may have treated Bland differently because she was black. We can't read his mind. But it's much more likely he treated her the way he did because she didn't exhibit blind obedience to his every whim, something he was trained not to tolerate and Americans of all political persuasions seem to have acquiesced to without question.

It shouldn't be that way, not here, the land of the free and the home of the brave.
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
Wake-up Call #1

So, last night I was dreaming that I was going sky-diving with the Pope, as one does in dreams. It was my second jump (in the dream - in reality I'm highly allergic to jumping out of perfectly good airplanes and have never sky-dived) and had pulled my ripcord when the phone rang. It was 4:50 in the AM and our managed network provider had detected a problem, which fortunately wasn't as big a problem as they thought.

Wake-up Call #2

The police officer I spoke of yesterday got a wake-up call; he resigned the force. I don't know the man's history prior to this event, so I can't comment if resignation is sufficient*, but apparently the officer is at least getting a clue.

Wake-up Call #3

The inimitable Eric Flint has a long and on-point response to Brad Torgersen It's well worth a read. A phrase of Eric's I shall steal shamelessly borrow is: [in reference to the deathless prose of Mr. John C. Wright] This is an example of what I think of as the Saudi School of Prose. No noun may go out in public unless she is veiled by grandiloquence and accompanied by an adjective.





* Nor do I know if there were other mitigating circumstances at play. For all I know the man's dog died or he had other personal problems that he shouldn't, but did, bring to work.

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