I've been noticing a drift in the last few weeks among the 'saner' talking heads on the right, where they're trying to distance themselves from the train wreck they're watching in front of them.
While Obama's numbers have slipped back, Nate Silver makes the point that they're slipping back to where they've always been, and while he's no fan of constructions of 'no candidate not ahead by [insert date in September]' they're not entirely invalid. The reality is, apart from a few polls, largely ones with known and expected house effects, Romney hasn't yet led consistently in any sequence of polling in something like 6 months.
Before the dogs breakfast of the RNC, I had concerns that the GOP could redefine Romney as something other than an out of touch rich guy. Now, given he's even playing up his chances for the debates, something I've always questioned, I'm wondering if he'll be in the running by October 4th.
Interestingly, those that watch these things say the Obama campaign has been quietly slipping leaks to lower expectations of Obama's performance in the debates.
I suspect the problem is the GOP just aren't used to a Democratic candidate who can out play their playbook.
It's probably time they get a new one. Especially if the demographics rich the tipping point in Texas.
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Date: 2012-09-17 10:12 pm (UTC)While Obama's numbers have slipped back, Nate Silver makes the point that they're slipping back to where they've always been, and while he's no fan of constructions of 'no candidate not ahead by [insert date in September]' they're not entirely invalid. The reality is, apart from a few polls, largely ones with known and expected house effects, Romney hasn't yet led consistently in any sequence of polling in something like 6 months.
Before the dogs breakfast of the RNC, I had concerns that the GOP could redefine Romney as something other than an out of touch rich guy. Now, given he's even playing up his chances for the debates, something I've always questioned, I'm wondering if he'll be in the running by October 4th.
Interestingly, those that watch these things say the Obama campaign has been quietly slipping leaks to lower expectations of Obama's performance in the debates.
I suspect the problem is the GOP just aren't used to a Democratic candidate who can out play their playbook.
It's probably time they get a new one. Especially if the demographics rich the tipping point in Texas.