chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
As a fan of University of Illinois basketball, I have decidedly mixed opinions on Bobby Knight, a long-time coach at rival Indiana University. However, he definitely was an effective coach, if you define "effective" as "winning basketball games."

Knight has been quoted as saying "The will to succeed is important, but what's more important is the will to prepare." In thinking of our government's response to Benghazi I was struck by how appropriate this quote was.

Reading through the report, I was struck by how ill-prepared pretty much everybody was. Quick-reaction units that took 6 hours to get mustered and didn't have transport. A shocking lack of knowledge by the military of what resources where on the ground or even where the key building were. The bottom line is that nobody prepared a response. When the shit hit the fan, everybody was improvising. We got lucky that only four people died that night.

Benghazi!

Jun. 28th, 2016 03:48 pm
chris_gerrib: (Me 2)
The House Select Committee on Benghazi has released their final report. After much Strum und Drang, there's nothing there. Specifically:

1) Ambassador Stevens died before anybody could have done anything.
2) Nobody in any level of command issued a "stand down" order. The closest to such an order came from the CIA chief in Benghazi who may have had his team wait a couple of minutes while he was trying to get local help - help that the team leader wanted.

There were a few new items. First, the only military unit available to respond, a FAST platoon, was in Rota, Spain. That's 4 hours flying time to Benghazi. Alas, the unit doesn't have C-130s available - they have to come from Ramstein, Germany.

The unit commander testified that he saw TV news of a problem around midnight local time and started recalling his troops from liberty. He got the order to go to Libya at 2:39 AM local time. To be clear, Stephens had been dead for hours, the consulate had been overrun for hours, and the CIA annex had been attacked once by then. He'd already recalled his troops and were getting them packed up, but that's when he got the order. At 5:45 AM local time, FAST reported that they were ready to go.

They did not have a C-130, as Ramstein had not been ordered to send one. The general at Ramstein, also acting on TV news, had gotten some birds prepped. Yet the C-130s didn't arrive from Ramstein for another six (6) (!!!!!!) hours, and FAST spent several hours on the ground deciding whether or not to travel in civilian clothes and with what weapons.

What is clear to me from reading the report is a shocking lack of urgency in any of the military units involved, from the immediate reports of the Secretary of War on down to the European commanders. What was also clear to me was a very low, peacetime, level of readiness for a problem. Having said that, the fault seems to lie at the level of uniformed officers, not Clinton.

Links

Aug. 5th, 2014 09:22 am
chris_gerrib: (Rotary)
1) A very interesting article: why you should stop believing in evolution. TL;DR version = one believes in religion and comprehends science.

2) Yet another Republican-led House panel finds no misconduct or attempt to misled in Benghazi affair.

A twofer from Gin and Tacos:

3) a lack of constraint. Constraint is used in the technical sense to mean people should believe things that make sense together. In other words, if balancing the budget is important, raising taxes should be okay.

4) We Americans have little faith in special knowledge, and only with the greatest difficulty is the idea being forced upon us that not every man is capable of doing every job. But Mr. Ford belongs to the traditions of self-made men, to that primitive Americanism which has held the theory that a successful manufacturer could turn his hand with equal success to every other occupation.

This quote above shows one of the (many, many) failures of libertarianism. There really is "special knowledge" and we ignore that at our peril. ETA This is more a critique of people who are self-described libertarians vs. the philosophy as a whole. See, for example, how we can't trust climate scientists because reasons.
chris_gerrib: (Me)
Benghazi!11!!

Over at Simberg's Flying Circus, the Usual Suspects are screaming "Benghazi!" again (or still, more accurately). This was prompted by a question from some editorialist about "where was Obama?" The answer is provided by the GOP in their majority report of the Armed Services Committee (PDF at link). Obama was in the Oval Office when he was told the consulate had been overrun and Stevens was missing. He told the Secretary of Defense and the Chair of the Joint Chiefs to "do everything they could" and they did.

Alas (again, see link above) no military forces were at a high enough state of alert and close enough to get there in time to do anything. Despite that fact, The Usual Suspects are upset that Obama didn't sit up all night and watch planes being loaded, or whatever he was supposed to do.

Science Fiction

The blog Obsidian Wings has an interesting article on world-building in science fiction. Money quote: the political differences in SF that are causing trouble are over the value of certain kinds of people, not over ideas. Of course people take opinions about their personhood personally, it would be bizarre not to. Refusing to spend mental time in a world where the creator despises you is basic self-protection, especially if the "real world" is one where you're already a second-class citizen. (emphasis in original).

This led to a humorous take on monarchy - a peasant's view of King Arthur.

Hugos

Orbit shot themselves in the foot by deciding to not include their novels in the free Hugo packet. In the short run, it will get them one more sale (me, of the McGuire book) but in the long run it's stupid.
chris_gerrib: (Me)
When saying “Benghazi is not Watergate,” it helps to remember what Watergate was. It was commission of felonies (breaking and entering, wiretapping) in an attempt to throw an election done at the behest of the sitting President. Saying that “the cover-up was worse than the crime” is not accurate. However, that cover-up was ordered by the President and designed to protect him.

Benghazi is (at worst) a series of bad judgment calls about the security posture of a remote diplomatic outpost. The “cover-up” is at worst an attempt to spin the attack into a spontaneous demonstration. Since there were several spontaneous demonstrations at the same time in the Arab world, saying “video caused attack” was at least plausible. Actually, if the video didn’t cause the attack, it was one hell of a coincidence.

In no event was the attack ordered by the President, nor was the response delayed by him. Simply put, we did not have any useful military assets at hand to respond faster than they did. Neither Obama nor Hilary Clinton personally managed the consulate’s security, and Ambassador Chris Stevens was apparently unconcerned enough to drive there and spend the night. Nakoula, the video-maker, was sentenced, not by Obama, but a Federal judge, to one year in jail on parole violations. He was released in 2013.

In short, there’s not much there. Most people, other than rabid partisans, understand that.

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