chris_gerrib: (Default)
Two thoughts on Iran, stolen borrowed from various sources:

One: Patterns of Revolutionary Change. An interesting read, and in my opinion, the money quote is:

"Bottom-up revolutions often begin with an expectancy of change that fails to materialize. The gravity of the expected change is almost immaterial. Thus, in early 1776, the men who would become our Founding Fathers waited months, expecting clemency or a compromise that never came; rather than halting revolution, Mikhail Gorbachev’s half-steps to freedom precipitated the death of the USSR; and the “defeat” of the quasi-reformer, Mir Hossein Mosauvi, evokes on the streets a yearning for change far beyond what the fairly moderate man ever even pretended to offer."

Two: a thought experiment: (hat tip Unqualifed Offerings, source Jim Lobe) regarding our policy with Iran.

The money quote:

"But to illustrate this obvious fact more sharply, consider the following thought experiment. In 1963, as King delivers his famous speech to the March on Washington, Soviet premier Nikita Khrushchev delivers a public message of his own to the protesters. “We would like to tell these brave voices of freedom,” Khrushchev says, “that they have the full support and solidarity of the USSR. The Soviet Union and the United States Communist Party are ready and willing to perform any measures within our power to help our American brothers and sisters obtain their rights from this oppressive regime."

The bottom line: "Let us focus only on a simple tactical question: would Khrushchev’s statement aid the civil rights movement? Would it be welcomed by King and his associates? Why or why not?"
chris_gerrib: (Default)
So I was going to write something pithy about the Storming of the Bastille which happened this day in 1789. Instead, I'll point to this very interesting discussion about Bombing Iran. You should go read the whole thing.

The author went hiking with an Iranian colleague and her college-aged son over the weekend. His colleague's father was an official under the Shah, and was forced into retirement. The family splits a lot of time between the US and Iran, and are ethnic minorities in that country. In short, they are no fans of the current regime.

Yet they are adamantly opposed to a US attack on their country. This is no surprise to me. I am no fan of the Bush Administration, but if some damn furriner decided to "liberate" me from him, or "defang" the US, I'd be pissed. In short, as I've said before, the quickest way to get Iranians to rally 'round the flag would be to attack them. Perhaps that's why Iran is frequently provocative - it would help their domestic politics if we attacked.

Word Count for Space Rescue
Complete (70,754) Goal (80,000)
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Things accomplished in fiction: Added a chapter in which we discovered that Alan Nomura is not a nice guy.

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